Friday, October 31, 2008

Income Tax Implications of Real Estate for the Small Investor

Wade A. Dennis
REAE 5311 Blog Post



Introduction

There are a multitude of investment options available to investor’s these days. An investor can put their money to work in such vehicles as stocks, bonds, certificates of deposit, and if they are really risk averse they can leave their funds in an interest bearing savings account. But what about investing in real estate? What are the advantages of putting one’s money to work in real property assets?
Many benefits are commonly cited for investing in real estate. Among these are that real estate provides for diversification of one’s portfolio, current income from the net cash flow of the property, amortization of the mortgage loan balance, providing capital appreciation, the use of leverage to maximize return on equity, the tax benefits of depreciation, the favorability of capital gains over ordinary income, and finally, real estate serves as an excellent hedge against inflation. (Masters 2000, 32)
As with any investment, the tax consequences of any transaction needs to be taken into account in order to maximize profits and cash flows. Long-term financial planning, which includes effective tax planning, is necessary for maximizing wealth. Not taking the effect of income tax rules and regulations into account in one’s financial planning can have very negative effects on one’s cash flows. For example, ineffective tax planning could lead to the loss of the Sec. 1031 tax deferred exchange benefit resulting in the taxation of a capital gain resulting from a property sale.
So, for the investor contemplating real estate, what are some of the income tax implications? Several areas will be addressed: Passive activity limitations, depreciation, and Sec. 1031 exchanges.



Business Entity?

Before addressing these areas, one of the most important questions to deal with, not just for tax reasons but also for liability issues, is the business form of the investment, or what type of business entity to hold the real asset in. “The choice of which business form to adopt, as a vehicle to invest in commercial real estate, is critical to the success of the real estate investor.” (Haight and Singer 2005, 49) Many individual investors seek to have their real estate holdings in subchapter S-Corporations, limited partnerships, and limited liability companies (LLC’s). The reason is twofold. One, these forms of ownership provide for the liability protection of the owner(s). The personal assets of the owner(s) are shielded from creditors in the event of mortgage default or bankruptcy, except where the individual serves as the general partner of the limited partnership. The investor’s liability is limited to his/her basis in the business entity, as well as his/her share of any non-recourse debt held by the entity. Secondly, these flow-through entities avoid the double taxation of income of the C Corporation, as well as allowing for the distribution of cash flows tax free! (Technically speaking, income generated in these flow-through entities is taxed at the individual level whether or not cash is distributed, which is why cash distributions are not taxable to the individual.) It is not advisable for the investor to operate as a sole proprietor due to the lack of liability protection, nor is it advisable to hold real estate in a C Corporation because of the loss of preferential capital gains treatment and the above mentioned double taxation of income.


Passive Activity Limitations[i]

Real estate activities are viewed as passive activities in the Internal Revenue Code. For example, Code Sec. 469(c)(2) defines passive activities to include any rental activity. The general rule in passive activity limitations is that income generated in rental activities are included in the taxpayer’s ordinary income and taxed and the individual’s marginal tax rate while losses are deductible only against passive income. The limitation is that losses generated in passive rental activities cannot be used to offset either active or portfolio income. In the event that the taxpayer has passive activity losses and no other passive activity income, said losses are “suspended and carryover to future years where they can offset passive income in those years.” (Pope, Anderson and Kramer 2008, 9-26) On the other hand, if the investor owns multiple properties and one property has current income, this income can be offset with losses generated by other properties thereby minimizing the taxes owed.


Depreciation

Depreciation is often cited as one of the benefits of investing in real estate.[ii] But what is depreciation? Depreciation is the “systematic allocation of the cost of an asset over its economic life.” (Pope, Anderson and Kramer 2008, 10-2) That is, the code allows taxpayer’s to take a deduction against current income for a prorated portion of the cost of an asset. For example, nonresidential real property, such as an office building, is Code Sec. 1250 property and as such has a class life of 39 years and each year the taxpayer would be allowed a deduction equaling 1/39th of the cost of the asset. Residential real property, such as apartment buildings, is also Code Sec. 1250 property but it would be depreciated over 27.5 years.
Two benefits of deprecation should be readily apparent. One, taxpayers are allowed deductions based on the full purchase price of the asset and not just on their equity portion. Because of the high capital requirements of investing in real estate and the scarcity of dollars at the investor’s level, most real properties are mortgaged at loan-to-value (LTV) ratios commonly between 70-80%. For example, suppose a taxpayer invests in an office building for $1,000,000 and obtains a mortgage with an LTV of 75%. This taxpayer would receive a loan of $750,000 and would be required to put up equity capital of $250,000. Based on current rules, the taxpayer would be allowed an annual deduction of $25,641 ($1,000,000/39 years) as opposed to $6,410 ($250,000/39 years) if the depreciation deduction were limited to actual cash expended to purchase the property.
Secondly, it is a non-cash deduction against current income. The cash was expended upfront in purchasing the property and yet every year the taxpayer is able to include in their net rental income this non-cash expense. In the above example, the taxpayer did not spend $25,641 and yet he/she is able to take this deduction against current income thereby reducing taxable income and the resultant taxes paid. The beauty of depreciation is that a property can be generating positive cash flow and yet there be little or no taxable income. (Wendt 1969, 79) Taxpayers are able to convert some of the ordinary income (which can be taxed as high as 35%) generated by the property to capital gains (which are taxed at the lower rate of 15%) through depreciation deductions.
While depreciation has its benefits, there is one drawback that without effective tax planning can come back to bite you. This drawback is the depreciation recapture rule and is found in Sec. 1250 of the Code. The basic rule is that if Sec. 1250 property is sold or disposed of at a gain, that portion of the gain due to excess depreciation would be treated as Sec. 1250 ordinary gain. In other words, a portion or even all of the gain would be converted from capital gain taxed at the lower rate of 15% to ordinary income taxed at the taxpayer’s highest marginal tax rate. Excess depreciation is the “excess of the actual amount of accelerated deprecation over the amount that would be deductible under the straight-line method.” (Pope, Anderson, and Kramer 2008, 13-12 – 13-13) Accelerated depreciation refers to the double-declining (200%) or 150% declining balance methods of depreciation. For example, using the 200% DB method of depreciation in our example above would result in a deduction of $51,282 ($25,641*2) in year 1 and in this case the excess is $25,641 and would be taxed as ordinary income.
Since all real property placed in service after 1986 is required to be depreciated using the straight-line method, Sec. 1250 depreciation recapture rarely comes into play. Congress therefore enacted the Unrecaptured Sec. 1250 gain rule. This rule states that any long-term capital gain resulting from the sale or disposition of Sec. 1250 property “due to depreciation other than excess depreciation is unrecaptured Sec. 1250 gain taxed at a maximum rate of 25%.” (Pope, Anderson and Kramer 2008, 13-12) Basically, that portion of the gain due to depreciation deductions would be taxed at the 25% rate rather than the current capital gains rate of 15%. While depreciation does provide positive benefits to the taxpayer during the holding period of an asset, it can get cost one in the end.


Sec. 1031 Exchanges

This brings up the biggest tax advantage for holding real estate assets in one’s portfolio, and it is known as the Sec. 1031 exchange. Sec. 1031 of the Internal Revenue Code covers like-kind exchanges, and this provision of the code allows taxpayers to defer the tax on the capital gain resulting from the sale or disposition of real property. In order to qualify for Sec. 1031 treatment the Code specifies that replacement “property be identified and that exchange be completed not more than 180 days after transfer of exchanged property”.[iii] The taxpayer has 45 days after disposition of property to identify the replacement property and complete this exchange in 180 days.[iv] If this requirement is not met then the benefit of Sec. 1031 is lost and any gain would be taxable with the provisions for depreciation recapture in full effect.
Note that this is a tax deferred exchange and not a tax free exchange. The gain on the sale is deferred in that the basis of the new property is written down by the amount of the gain. In our example above, suppose that our investors sold the property that they purchased for $1,000,000 at a gain of $500,000, and entered into a non-taxable exchange by acquiring a like-kind asset for $2,000,000. The purchase price of $2,000,000 would be adjusted downward by $500,000 and the new property would have a tax basis of $1,500,000. If this property were later sold for $2,500,000, the resulting gain would be $1,000,000, not $500,000. Through this provision of the Code taxpayers are able to shield capital gains from taxation and increase cash flow available for other investments. In this case our investors saved $75,000 ($500,000*0.15) in taxes by utilizing Sec. 1031. Another benefit of Sec. 1031 is that it can be used indefinitely. A taxpayer can roll over real estate assets multiple times thereby shielding income from taxes, and in the event of death, if the taxpayer is still in possession of a 1031 asset, this asset can be bequeathed to an heir. In this event, the basis in the asset would be adjusted to fair market value thereby excluding the accumulated capital gains from taxation. Sec. 1031 tax deferred exchanges are very powerful tools for increasing wealth, cash flows, and also very useful in estate planning.


Conclusion

Real estate investing offers many tax advantages for the small taxpayer. Among these benefits are depreciation, Sec. 1031 like-kind exchanges, and the preferential treatment of capital gains over ordinary income. Investing in real estate can be a vital part of the overall financial plan of any investor seeking to provide both current income and for maximizing one’s wealth. In addition, real estate can be used in estate planning and passing on one’s legacy to heirs, thereby contributing to the continued prosperity of one’s family.

Footnotes
[i] The following discussion of passive activity limitations assumes that the taxpayer is not engaged in a real property trade or business and does not actively participate in rental real estate activities. In the event of active participation, the taxpayer may offset up to $25,000 of non passive income with passive activity losses generated from rental real estate activities. See Code Sec. 469 (i).
[ii] See for example, http://www.mortgage-investments.com/Investors_in_Real_Estate/tax_benefits_of_owning_investment_real_estate.htm, http://www.christinawhipple.com/General-Interest/Real-Estate-Investing-Generates-Big-Tax-Benefits.html, http://www.therealestatefoundation.com/investing-benefits/investment-real-estate-tax-shelter/, and http://www.inman.com/buyers-sellers/columnists/real-estate-investing-generates-big-tax-benefits.
[iii] Code Sec. 1031(a)(3).
[iv] Code Sec. 1031(a)(3)(A) and Sec. 1031(a)(3)(B).

Bibliography
Greer, Gaylon E. and Michael D. Farrell, “Investment Analysis for Real Estate Decisions” 2nd Ed. USA: Longman Financial Services Publishing, 1988.
Kyle, Robert C. and Jeffrey S. Perry, “How to Profit from Real Estate: Investing under the New Rules.” USA: Longman Financial Services Publishing, 1988.
Masters, Nicholas. “How to Make Money in Commercial Real Estate for the Small Investor.” New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2000.
Pope, Thomas R., Kenneth E. Anderson and John L. Kramer, eds. “Prentice Hall’s Federal Taxation 2008: Comprehensive.” Upper Saddle River, NJ: Pearson Prentice Hall, 2008.
Haight, G. Timothy, and Singer, Daniel D. “The Real Estate Investment Handbook.” Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2005.
Wendt, Paul F. and Alan R. Cerf. “Real Estate Investment Analysis and Taxation” New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1969.

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Developers' panel: The Changing Demographics of Texas

The Second Annual Real Estate Developers'
Roundtable is an informal conversation among
leaders in the development and real estate
community, sponsored by the Dean's Advisory
Council of the School of Architecture. The moderated
discussion will give the audience a peek at
issues and opportunities encountered in planning
for the changing demographics of the Texas city.
Attendees will also be able to ask questions of the
distinguished panel.

Thursday
November 20, 2008
5-7 pm
UTA School of Architecture Building
601 Nedderman Drive, Arlington, Texas
Auditorium 204

Free to students. For reservations, please contact Anna Peredo-Manor at ampmanor@uta.edu.

THE PANELISTS
MICHAEL P. BUCKLEY FAIA
Columbia University
Professor Michael Buckley is Director of Columbia University’s
MS in Real Estate Development Program (MSRED), and heads
the Center for High Density Development (CHDD). As
President of Halcyon Ltd, a development advisory firm, Prof.
Buckley has an international reputation for mixed-use retail
and strategic planning for under-utilized sites such as
Washington’s SE Federal Center, Moscow’s Manezhnaya
shopping complex, and Puerto Rico’s San Juan Harbor. A
former ULI trustee and chairman of ULI’s Urban Mixed-Use
Council, Prof. Buckley ran the ULI Program Committee, responsible
for all sessions at the bi-annual ULI Conferences. He
holds BA and BS Degrees from Rice University, and a Masters
Degree in Advanced Studies from MIT. He is past President of
the Connecticut Society of Architects and author of numerous
articles on retail mixed-use and urban revitalization.

ALAN P. MCDONALD
Co-Founder and Senior Managing Director
INCAP FUND
A national authority on urban land planning and infill
development, Mr. McDonald has been instrumental in the
implementation of New Urbanism principles in the Dallas-Fort
Worth area. Prior to INCAP, Mr. McDonald was the founder
and principal owner of CityHomes, the nation’s largest innercity
homebuilder, acquired in 2001 by Centex Corporation.
Mr. McDonald offers more than 27 years of experience in
construction, real estate, accounting, and finance, as well as
extensive expertise in real estate syndication and complex
legal, finance, and tax structuring. Named 1999 Builder of
the Year by the National Association of Homebuilders, Mr.
McDonald has developed more than $300 million worth of
apartments, condominiums, and townhomes in the Oak Lawn
and Uptown area of Dallas, and he has been pivotal in
transforming the severely blighted Knox Park area into the
city’s preeminent urban residential neighborhood.

DAVID C. MCDOWELL AIA
Senior Vice President
Greystone Communities, Inc.
Mr. McDowell is responsible for overseeing and managing
the development activities at Greystone. In addition, he is
responsible for reviewing the design efforts of outside consultants
to insure consistency of product design with Greystone's
senior living philosophy. Prior to joining Greystone in 1994,
Mr. McDowell was a Partner in the architectural firm of Fusch-
Serold and Partners, Inc. and was the principal architect for
the firm's senior living work. Mr. McDowell is a registered
architect with over 25 years of senior living experience. Mr.
McDowell received a Bachelor of Architecture from Texas
Tech University in 1973.

DAVID B. PETTIT
Principal and Director of Economic Development
Gideon Toal
With over fourteen years of experience, David Pettit oversees
economic development and economic revitalization projects
for Gideon Toal. Mr. Pettit focuses on real estate development,
feasibility analysis, contract negotiations and financing strategies
for both public and private sector clients. Mr. Pettit’s
specialized knowledge of government planning, zoning,
historic preservation and housing/parking management
allows him to advise clients on the financial and legal aspects
of municipal finance, commercial lending and land acquisitions.

DAVID PIERCE AIA
Vice President - Development and Design
Inland American Communities Group, Inc.
Mr. Pierce brings 18 years of architecture, design, and
development experience to his role as Vice President – Development
and Design at Inland American Communities Group,
Inc. He manages all aspects of the development and design
process in conventional, mixed-use and student housing
projects, including site selection, land acquisition, market
analysis, entitlements, construction oversight and asset
management.
Mr. Pierce recently received a Preservation Dallas Design
Award and a Hero of East Dallas Award for his work with
East Dallas Community Organization and their affordable
housing efforts in East Dallas. His projects have garnered
recognition from the Dallas Chapter of the American Institute
of Architects, the Texas Society of Architects and the Association
of General Contractors.
Mr. Pierce earned a Bachelor of Architecture degree from
Texas Tech University and a Master of Architecture degree
from Syracuse University. He is a member of the American
Institute of Architects, the U.S. Green Building Council, and
has served as the AIA Dallas Design Commissioner.

STEVE PUMPER
Executive Managing Director of Investment Services and
Asset Services
Transwestern
Mr. Pumper utilizes his 24 years of commercial real estate
experience to lead and coordinate the national operations
of the Investment Services and Asset Services Groups. He
oversees all aspects of Transwestern’s investment and
finance platform including, asset sales, financial advisory,
and corporate real estate finance for all product types
including office, industrial, retail, healthcare and multifamily.
He also oversees the firm’s national business development
efforts for strategic agency leasing and property
management services. Mr. Pumper is a member of
Transwestern’s board of directors.
Prior to joining Transwestern, Mr. Pumper was senior
managing director for Insignia/ESG, where he was responsible
for institutional business development regarding investment
sales, management, leasing and financing opportunities.
He also served as an officer and vice president of the
Real Estate Roundtable (RER), formerly known as the
National Realty Committee (NRC).

RON WITTEN
Witten Advisors
Beginning at M/PF Research in 1973, Ron Witten has spent
a career studying and understanding the demographic,
economic and market forces shaping apartment property
performance. President of M/PF since 1978, Mr. Witten led
M/PF as the firm became a national leader in apartment
market data and market analysis. Under his leadership,
M/PF provided market research services to the nation's
leading apartment companies. In July 1999, M/PF became
a wholly owned subsidiary of RealPage, Inc., the leading
provider of property management software to the apartment
industry. He continued as president of M/PF prior to forming
his new company, Witten Advisors, in January 2001. Working
closely with senior management of the country's major
apartment developers and investors for over 20 years, Mr.
Witten has developed a principal's perspective. The mission
of Witten Advisors is to lead investors and developers to
"market-smart" decisions on apartment acquisitions and on
new developments.

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Graduate Student Drop Date 10/31/2008

The Graduate Student Drop date is October 31, 2008. Dropping after this date requires a petition* to withdraw. Students must withdraw from all courses.

*Petition is not automatic. It means that you are asking to be withdrawn from the University due to some unforeseen, emergency situation. The reason for a petition cannot be a low grade.

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Short Sales in Residential Real Estate

by Joe Carey
REAE 5311 Blog Post


Introduction


There has been a lot of news surrounding housing markets and rising defaults in recent months. Generally in the mainstream media it seems to be assumed that defaults that are not cured lead to foreclosure. There are other options, however, one of which is known as a ‘Short Sale.’ A short sale occurs when a house has depreciated in value below the amount of the outstanding debt against it, and the lender agrees to accept less than the amount owed in the sale rather than foreclose. This article will present a general description of a short sale and why various parties may find it a favorable or unfavorable choice.


Mortgagor Perspective


When a homeowner faces a financial hardship affecting their ability to make their home-related debt service payments, they have a number options available to them. They can request a loan modification or other type of workout plan from the lender, allowing them to stay in the house by changing the terms of the loan temporarily or permanently. Failing that, they must choose from foreclosure, a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, or a short sale. Each of these options result in the homeowner losing the home, but generally the short sale will look “least bad” on their credit.



In addition, Congress passed The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007 (HR 3648) on December 14, 2007, which allows mortgagors to skip counting forgiven amounts of home loans as part of their gross income on their tax returns[1], in an apparent attempt to encourage them to work with the lenders to reduce losses.


Thus, for the homeowner, the benefits to a short sale are that it minimizes credit damage and relieves the debt without increasing their tax liability. The drawbacks are that it hurts their credit and they lose the home in a slow and painfully drawn-out process.


Mortgagee Perspective


Lenders obviously prefer that their customers stay current on their payments, but they also know all too well that doesn’t always happen. If you consider that a sale after foreclosure results in an average loss of 40% to the lenders [2] because of all the costs associated with foreclosing, owning the foreclosed property for some period of time, and finally selling it, you would think that lenders would jump at the opportunity to let the borrower sell the property and forgive the difference between the selling price and amount owed as long as it’s less than the expected foreclosure loss.



Why does it seem like lenders drag their feet when considering a short sale agreement then? Well, it may just be that the lenders are the least informed parties when this situation arises. Borrowers don’t often advise the lenders when they may default in the following month; in fact, it seems that generally the lender doesn’t get asked to agree to a short sale until there is a buyer involved and at that point they are expected to know the home’s value and the true financial condition of the homeowner, etc. The lender may have to take a loss anyway, but they won’t want to sell for less than a current fair market value. They would also want to be sure that the homeowner isn’t just trying to pass the loss on to them when they could actually afford the payments.


Market Perspective


According to the National Association of Realtors, 18% of home sales are short sales [2], but because of the extra time and red tape required to get them approved, these properties don’t move as quickly. An economics professor at the University of San Diego has observed that short sales have concentrated buying pressure into foreclosures and motivated-sales as buyers are trying to avoid the inconvenience of short sale properties [3].


Alternatives


The deed-in-lieu of foreclosure saves the lender some of the legal costs of foreclosure in that the mortgagor simply signs over the deed in exchange for extinguishing the debt, which is presumably at least marginally better for the homeowner’s credit than a foreclosure.


Of course, a homeowner always has the option to just walk away and let the bank foreclose at its leisure. This may not be the best option, but it is certainly easier for the homeowner.



Conclusion


A short sale seems like a good option to pursue for a homeowner who cannot keep up with their mortgage payments and cannot get the banks to agree to a loan modification. However, it takes time and effort, and patience from all involved parties. A good rule of thumb is to communicate with the lender early and often; let them know your situation and ask them to agree to a short sale.


Sources:


  1. GovTrack.us. H.R. 3648--110th Congress (2007): Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007, GovTrack.us (database of federal legislation) <http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h110-3648&tab=summary> (accessed Oct 24, 2008)
  2. Simon, Ruth and Hagerty, James R.; Why Lenders Are Leery Of Short Sales; Wall Street Journal - Eastern Edition; 4/17/2008, Vol 251 Issue 90, pD1-D4, 2p
  3. http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20080928/news_1h28ratcliff.html

Monday, October 27, 2008

The Texas Land Search

By Kevin Jacobi
REAE 5311 Blog post

My Family's Experience

About five years ago when the stock market continued to be a risky place for investments, and interest-earning investments offered fairly poor returns, my dad decided rural land was the place to invest. After all, he believed, as many other investors, that land is the one thing they’ll never make any more of.

He and my mother began a search to find a great land deal in the area around Fort Worth. They scoured the farm and land sections in the local newspaper, and searched the internet for acreage in the surrounding counties. They spent time every day in their search. After hundreds of phone calls and many dry runs looking at land, they began to develop a set of questions and some guidelines regarding their potential purchase.

They never went to look at a piece of land unless they had answers to certain questions, since certain answers to these questions could totally eliminate the possibility of purchasing a particular piece of land. The questions included such things as:
  • How many acres?
  • What is the price?
  • Where, exactly, is the property? (Google Earth can usually locate land)
  • What exactly is on the property? Tanks, creeks, trees, barns, pumping jacks,etc.
  • If there are trees, what kind? (Hardwoods are most desirable)
  • Is there well water? Are there pumping wells? Is there city or coop water?
  • Is there paved road frontage? How much?
  • Does it include mineral rights, executive rights? Is there drilling?
  • What is the geometric shape of property? (consider the future divisibility of the land)
  • How large are neighboring tracts, and what kind of neighbors are there?
  • Are there any easements?
  • How big are the tanks, how deep? How well do they hold water? Do they have fish? Are creeks seasonal or year round?
  • What is the land being used for? If grazing, has it been overgrazed?
  • Is there electric? If so where?
  • Is it fenced, and if so what kind, and is it in good shape?
  • What kind of soil?
  • Is any part of it in a flood zone?

After about two years of searching, my parents found their first piece of land. When they opened the Star-Telegram one Thursday in February of 2005, they saw an ad for 154 acres in Palo Pinto county, $1800 an acre with minerals (a previous owner had a life estate in the minerals, and after their death all mineral rights and royalties would revert to my parents). My parents went that same evening to look at the land, and told the owner they’d take it. By that point in their land looking career, they knew a good deal when they saw it. About 18 months later, they turned around and sold their property for $2,700 an acre. (They retained half the future mineral interest)

Sun setting at first land purchase in Palo Pinto County

If you included all the time, effort, and gas it took to finally settle on a piece of land, I am not sure how good a deal my parents first land purchase actually was. I do think, however, they had fun on their search.

Recent Market Trends

Texas land has become an increasingly popular investment, not just for my dad, but also for many other investors over the past few years. Accordingly, the price of this land has seen substantial gains. In Texas, baby boomers reaching retirement age, (such as my dad) are shopping for small tracts of land.[i]

One of the most comprehensive sources for trends in the Texas land market are reports produced by the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M. The June 2008 A&M report on the 2007 land market indicates that land prices rose 20 percent per acre from 2006 to 2007, from $1,825 to $2,190. Texas land prices in 2007 were 224 percent of the prices in 2002, which equals a compound growth rate of more than 17% annually.

The A&M report, “Sizzling Land”, summarizes the reasons for the 2007 land price acceleration as follows: “As 2007 closed, rising uncertainty in financial markets coupled with soaring commodity prices and lack of alternative investments drove market acceleration as investment buyer’s targeted cropland.”[ii]

At the Land Market Conference held in San Antonio in April realtors echoed some of the same reasons for rising land prices. They also included the fact the oil and gas executives are buying ranches, as well as the idea that there is “uncertainty in the 2008 presidential election, upheaval in the stock market and the Federal Reserve’s actions to rescue the banking system.”[i]

This land price increase for 2007 was most evident in sales of small sized properties. Small properties (less than 100 acres) averaged $4, 000 an acre in 2007, whereas larger properties averaged $1,800 per acre. In 2007 large property prices rose only 4% over 2006, as opposed to small property prices which rose 15%.

Another notable trend in land prices has to do with the size of property being sold. The average tract of land being sold has seen a decrease in size for several years. In 2007 the average tract size was 80 acres compared to 98 acres in 2006. [iii]


Price increases vary depending on which area of Texas being considered. The largest 2007 price jump occurred along the Coastal Prairie. (Calhoun, Jackson, Matagorda, Victoria and Wharton counties). Land prices in these areas increased 46 percent in 2007. Another large price increase took place in the Hill country of Texas, north of San Antonio. The average per acre price rose 19 percent in 2007 to more than $8,400. The only area of Texas not to experience a price increase for 2007 was the Rio Grade Valley. This decrease was attributed to the mortgage crisis and slowing community development. [i]

What the Future looks like for Texas Land

Several realtors who deal in rural Texas land were called the first week of October 2008 to get a feel for the today’s actual market. Almost all these realtors believed that despite the current economic crisis, over the next five years, land prices would continue to rise. Their reasoning had to do with past trends, and the fact that they had never seen land prices decline in all their years in the Texas real estate market. These realtors indicated that the most important factors affecting the price of rural land is distance from town, road frontage, views, and water availability.

A realtor I spoke to in the Fredericksburg area said that selling plots of land in rural subdivisions is becoming very popular. These plots are for home sites and range from four to six acres with an agricultural exemption. The realtor said this type of rural property is popular for people living in San Antonio and Austin as a weekend country getaway. (If you look at the Fort Worth Star Telegram weekend edition you will also see many similar rural tracks of land for sale such as 7-R Ranch and Robson Ranch.)

One realtor I spoke with summed up the Texas land investment best when she said: “As the Texas population continues to soar there will be less land per person and the value of this limited land will have no where to go but up.” As we struggle through the dismal economic news and talks of recession, researching the effects of the 1929 depression on land prices may provide investors with some insight.

Tax Breaks for Owning Rural Land

Another realtor I spoke with focused on the tax breaks of owning rural land versus owning real estate in the city. Generally when real estate is purchased in the city for investment purposes the owner must pay value based property taxes. Rural land, however, can generally be held as an investment with minimal property tax.

Tax breaks are available in either the form the Agricultural-Use Appraisal method or the Open-Space Appraisal method. The most common method to get an agricultural exemption for investment real estate would be from using the Open-Space Appraisal method. The Agricultural-Use Appraisal method is used for individuals whose primary occupation and source of income is farming.

Obtaining an agricultural exemption using the Open-Space Appraisal method requires only the land, not the landowner, meet the following criteria:

  1. The land must be currently devoted principally to agricultural use to the degree of intensity generally accepted in the area.
  2. The land has been devoted principally to agricultural use or production of timber or forest products for five of the preceding seven years.
  3. The owner files a prescribed form provided by the appraisal office with the chief appraiser before May 1 with all the necessary information to determine the validity of the claim. For good cause, the chief appraiser may extend the filing deadline 60 days.

Agricultural uses include planting and harvesting crops, raising livestock, vineyards, producing logs, or wildlife management.[iv]

Another type of tax break can be gained through the use of a wildlife exemption. A wildlife exemption is actually just a special form of an agricultural exemption using the Open-Space Appraisal method. To receive the wildlife exemption you must implement at least three of seven specific wildlife management practices set by the Texas Parks and Wildlife Department. These practices include habitat control, erosion control, predator control, providing supplemental supplies of water, providing supplemental supplies of food, providing shelters, or making census counts to determine wildlife population.[v]

In addition to receiving tax breaks on the investment land, the owner also does not have to pay sales tax on equipment, animals, seeds, machines, and fuel used in the agricultural production.[vi]

Conclusion

Finding a good investment generally takes a great deal of time, research, and effort. An advantage of rural land is that you can get out to the country and enjoy the scenery and fresh air. Will land prices continue to rise at the same recent rates, even with the current financial crisis? I am a bit skeptical, but realtors seem to be fairly optimistic.




References:

[i] http://www.mysanantonio.com/business/MYSA042508_01C_TexasLand042508_130f98c_html.html
[ii] http://recenter.tamu.edu/pdf/1868.pdf
[iii]
http://recenter.tamu.edu/pdf/1861.pdf
[iv]
http://recenter.tamu.edu/pdf/1361.pdf
[v]
http://www.noble.org/Ag/Wildlife/TaxClassification/index.html
[vi]
http://www.window.state.tx.us/taxinfo/taxpubs/tx94_101.html
[vii]
http://twri.tamu.edu/reports/2002/e143.pdf

Sunday, October 26, 2008

Urban Land Institute/Genald D. Hines Urban Design Competition

REAE@UTA has competed in this competition the first two years it was run. If anyone is interested, we can try to put an interdisciplinary team together this year. Teams consist of five graduate students and should be a mix from the Business School, the Architecture School, and the Urban Planning School. Since this is a design competition, the ideal mix is probably 1 or at most 2 business students. Also, if any business students have backgrounds in architecture or planning, this is a big plus.

For more information on the competition, please visit www.udCompetition.ULI.org

The application deadline is December 5, 2008, so teams should be put together before the end of this fall semester. The competition runs from January 19 to February 2. If you are interested you need to clear your schedule during the competition period. This competition requires your complete attention, total dedication, and a lot of hard work (and this is just to finish by the deadline!). Also, you should be in good academic standing with a 3.2 GPA or higher. Students who have participated do say it was a great experience that they will never forget.

If interested, contact me at ahansz@gmail.com. If we can get two or three dedicated real estate students, I will contact the Architecture School.

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Dprofiler Training (2 days in Dallas)

Beck Technologies has invited a couple REAE@UTA students (1 or 2 students per session only) to attend upcoming training sessions. The training is two full days at Beck's headquarters in Dallas. You must attend the full two days and you are responsible for your own transportation. Also, please remember that you are an invited student guest and sitting-in on (expensive) training geared primarily for paying corporate customers (represent us well so we will be invited back in the future).

There are two upcoming sessions:

October 28 and 29

OR

November 12 and 13

If you would like to attend, please contact me at ahansz@gmail.com.

Also, Doug Maiden of Beck will be on campus on Saturday, October 25th. See the prior post (from a couple weeks ago) if you would like to learn more about Dprofiler without making the trip to Dallas.

Dprofiler is software system used to design and produce cost estimates for new construction and development projects.

Friday, October 24, 2008

Dprofiler at REAE@UTA: Saturday, October 25th

On Saturday, October 25th from 11 AM to 1:30 PM in room 349E Business Building (3rd floor computer lab), Doug Maiden from Beck Technology will be giving a presentation and demonstration of a program called Dprofiler. Dprofiler is changing the way properties are being developed allowing architects, developers, investors, and appraisers to design and cost-out property improvements on a PC. All REAE@UTA students are invited to this event and we would also like to extend an invitation to any UTA architect students who might have an interest.


Thursday, October 23, 2008

New Urbanism Event on UTA Campus

The Congress on New Urbanism

New Directions: A traditional green future for north Texas
a one day symposium and discussion

Friday October 24, 9 AM

School of Architecture Room 204
The University of Texas at Arlington

Free and open to students, faculty and staff

No prior registration required

Speakers include:

Peter Swift
dynamic leader in the area of walk-able communities

Steve Mouzon
author, architect, and President of the New Urban Guild and Original Green.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Scholarship opportunity...

Ford Foundation Diversity Fellowships are designed to increase the diversity of the nation’s college and university faculties by increasing their ethnic and racial diversity, to maximize the educational benefits of diversity, and to increase the number of professors who can and will use diversity as a resource for enriching the education of all students.

Please find attached a flyer with more information. The competition is open to U.S. citizens or nationals who are enrolled or are planning to enroll in a research-based PhD program, and are planning a career in teaching and research at the college or university level.

Below you will find award amounts and deadlines. For more information, please visit http://national-academies.org/fellowships.

Predoctoral:
$20,000 to the fellow, institutional allowance of $2,000 for three years
Deadline: November 14, 2008

Dissertation:
$21,000 for one year
Deadline: November 28, 2008

Please share this information with your students.

Thank you,

Heather Connor
Coordinator for Special Programs
Office of Graduate Studies
The University of Texas at Arlington
Phone: 817.272.5667
Fax: 817.272.7148

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

GIS Job Opportunity: looks like a good opportunity for a MSRE student

Looking for Market Researchers
My company, MarketAtlas, is finalizing a national demographics visualization platform and is seeking market research professionals for testing of the service. It is a web-based GIS platform that lets users explore/investigate Census Block Level Demographic Data (income, age, ethnicity, lifestyle segmentation, etc.) for the entire US.

We prefer testers that use demographic data regularly, are familiar with the major census data providers and are comfortable with technology and/or GIS. The purpose of the program is to get feedback on the data as well as our visualization techniques.

If you would like more information on who we are and what we are doing, feel free to contact me directly or visit www.mktatlas.com/wholiveshere.

Thank You,

Scott Richter
MarketAtlas, Inc.
19200 Von Karman Ave., Ste. 250
Irvine, CA 92612
(949) 474-1796 - Direct
scott@mktatlas.com

Ross McCuistion's Blog Post REAE 5311


McDougal's Redevelopments

McDougal Companies are based in Lubbock, Texas and were established in 1982 for the purpose of acquiring and running apartment buildings. In the 1999 Delbert McDougal decided to redevelop Overton, a rundown area of Lubbock adjacent to Texas Tech University. Overton was over 360 acres of low income housing with 2% of the population and over 20% of the local crime. This is the largest private redevelopment in U.S. Today it is close to completion with all but a handful of tracts sold. At the present time there are six major apartment complexes focused on student housing. Currently under construction are a hotel convention center, high income housing, and a number of three-bedroom condos. A Wal-Mart Super Center was also completed in early 2006. Financing for this project was completed without the help of equity partners. Instead it relied solely on bank institutions, which makes the success all the more remarkable.

The city of Irving contacted McDougal Companies in 2004 wanting to undertake a similar project in South Irving. This area had declined substantially in the last ten years and crime had become a major problem. The city was hoping to have the area redeveloped, therefore increasing tax revenue for the city, and reducing the crime rate. McDougal Companies proposed a deal, entitled Heritage Crossing, which included a monthly fee and a guarantee from the city that they would financially back all the loans associated with purchasing, holding, and demolishing properties within the specified area. Some in City Hall were leery of taking all the risk of the development while giving McDougal Companies the potential upside of a major redevelopment. However, it was an undertaking that could be very profitable for everyone involved. The city of Irving would profit because not only would it get it’s investment money returned plus interest, it would also earn tax revenues that are predicted to increase dramatically over the next ten years. The deal is also good for McDougal Companies because it takes the majority of the risk out of the development while at the same time offering many opportunities for secondary projects.

Currently McDougal has spent an estimated $30 million, and recently received another loan of $16 million. All funding is being used for the purchase of dilapidated structures and substandard apartments in south Irving. Today a drive through south Irving would not lead one to conclude a $46 million dollar redevelopment project going on, but Delbert McDougal he estimates they have purchased over 50 properties in the area and are scheduled to start demolishing many of them by the end of the year. Mr. McDougal estimates the entire project will take 10 to 15 years to complete with the first major structure, a Washington Mutual Bank Building (interestingly enough considering the current banking crisis), is scheduled for completion by the end of the year.

The main focus of this redevelopment is the DART rail station that is scheduled to be in place by late 2009. With the increase in gas prices and current trend of New Urbanism, McDougal is hoping for success in areas closer to the city center. The plans for the area are mostly based on new Urbanism with many four story apartment complexes with retail on the first level. Most everything will be within walking distance of the train station with streets and sidewalks designed to be pedestrian friendly. It is the goal of a project to minimize the need for automotive transportation while providing a wide range of services nearby, and increasing the use of public transportation.

One of the most interesting things about projects similar to this one is how McDougal Companies are able to get the community to sell their properties without using eminent domain and without paying excessive prices for properties that are not for sale. Mr. McDougal explained to me how he purchases such property. He has a team of realtors out in the community trying to build relationships with homeowners. This process can takes years, but slowly they begin to acquire more and more property until it turns into a snowball effect. He rarely uses eminent domain and said it is really in everybody’s interests to settle on a fair market value. Paying too much for a property, especially at the beginning of a project, can be one of the most expensive mistakes because it sets the bar for what everyone else will expect. There are occasionally people who will try and take advantage of the situation by buying land and hoping to flip it for a profit, or refusing to sell in hopes of forcing a higher price for their property in the future. McDougal said these are all things he considers before he begins acquiring properties in a certain area. The truth is that most plans are very flexible and can easily be changed to work around such situations. Once plans have been put in place the holdout properties have little value to the project, and holding out can easily backfire.

The redevelopment area is so large it would be impossible to buy everything before beginning construction. Therefore small areas are targeted in hope that these developments will attract other developments throughout the area. This approach is different from the first project in Lubbock where McDougal purchased most of the 360 acres before beginning the redevelopment. The first stage of the Irving Heritage Crossing development is a planned apartment complex near the current train station which will soon become a DART rail station in late 2009. There are agreements for two existing banks and a McDonalds next to the station to do extensive renovations to their properties to bring them up to date with the new look of the area. This location is the first of five locations close to the train station that are scheduled for redevelopment.

This kind of redevelopment is not for the faint of heart. Obstacles seem to be everywhere, and the McDougal’s do not plan on getting all their investments out anytime soon. After asking Mr. McDougal about the type of work he is doing he said there are very few companies that take on projects of this nature. He mentioned the long time frame as one reason and the difficulty of dealing with the environmental issues as another. To undertake a project of this nature someone has to have a great vision as to what is possible possess a number of connections throughout the real estate industry. Since the south Irving project has begun, McDougal Companies has been contacted by San Antonio, Lubbock, Farmer’s Branch, and Lake Dallas all with the hope for redevelopment similar to what took place in the Overton Project.

Sources:

  1. Privett, T (2007) Failure is Not an Option. Legacy Edition, a division of Historical Publishing Network
  2. The City of Irving Web Site (October 6, 2009) McDougal Companies redevelopment. http://www.ci.irving.tx.us/news-articles/heritage-crossing-1008.html
  3. The Dallas Morning News Website (October 10, 2008) Irving Approves $16 Million Loan to McDougal Developer. http://www.ci.irving.tx.us/news-articles/heritage-crossing-1008.html
  4. McDougal Companies Website (September 25, 2008) Company History. http://www.mcdougal.com/history.shtml
  5. The Daily Toreador (October 2, 2008) Overton Project a year ahead of Schedule, 2008 is McDougal’s Target Finish. http://media.www.dailytoreador.com/media/storage/paper870/news/2004/01/26/CampusNews/Overton.Project.A.Year.Ahead.Of.Schedule.2008.Is.Mcdougal.Companies.Target.Finis-1278011.shtml
  6. Wikipedia (October 10, 2008) New Urbanism. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Urbanism






Monday, October 20, 2008

Empirical Research on International Real Estate Diversification

By Julio A. Rivas-Aguilar
REAE 5311 Blog Post


Introduction

It is well known in finance that diversification reduces risk, and if this diversification is done internationally, more risk sources could be offset. However, and for the particular case of real estate, international diversification is not only acquiring assets abroad: it is a strategic allocation process in which investors optimize their investment yield while significantly reducing risk. In order to prove this, there have been several empirical research papers that precisely address this issue. The purpose of this blog post is to present some of the findings of these papers and to stretch the importance of a good international diversification.

Even though real estate literature is not as wide as with general finance, this topic has enough breadth to cover several interesting points. The first paper analyzes the performance of publicly traded real estate companies in international markets, having these companies as a proxy for real estate markets. The following paper focuses exclusively in emerging markets, as it analyzes several property indices in these countries. Then, the third paper addresses a more complex model: Cointegration among markets. Finally, there’s a paper which attempts to demonstrate the relationship between fundamental and market prices on real estate properties. This selection might seem rather limited; nevertheless, it addresses some of the most important issues in this theme.

Publicly traded real estate companies

In the paper Commercial Real Estate Return Performance: A Cross Country Analysis, by Ling and Naranjo (2002), the authors address the importance of using publicly traded real estate companies with a very intuitive rationale: since it is virtually impossible for investors worldwide to hold and manage real estate assets in foreign countries, investments in public real estate companies are considered as a proxy for owning actual real estate. Therefore, in order to have international real estate diversification, an investor should focus on stocks from these companies.

First, the authors measured the growth of the stock price of real estate companies in 30 countries, along with several profitability ratios. They also calculated betas, the measure of sensibility of the stock of the real estate company compared with a world wealth portfolio. These betas were later used on regressions to find out whether they absolutely account for the movement of the price of the stock. If they do so, we could conclude that there is no need for international diversification. Conversely, if the residuals of the regressions also have explanatory power in returns, we could also conclude that there are country specific factors that influence the return on the stocks. The latter was the hypothesis the authors found more accurate.

The authors performed several other robustness checks for their findings, and concluded that the best strategy for international diversification was not picking “winners”, but rather to focus on the covariance structure of the assets. This is consistent with portfolio theory: covariances are the ones that really determine the amount of diversified risk. They also concluded that there’s a worldwide factor that affects real estate returns, however, country-specific factors also play an important role in determining the returns of a stock. Therefore, diversification is necessary in order to reduce these local factors.


Levent, Istanbul, Turkey




Real Estate in emerging markets

Barry and Rodriguez, in their 2004 paper Risk and return characteristics of property indices in emerging markets, focused on analyzing real estate in 15 emerging markets. The first major hurdle they encountered in their analysis was exchange rate: returns in local currency, especially in emerging markets, will be higher than in US dollar terms. For example, currencies in Brazil, Turkey, Argentina, and Venezuela suffered major depreciations in the last ten years, making returns in local currency not representative for international investors. Hence, it is important to change everything to a single currency, in this case the US dollar, in order to have a more accurate rate of return for a foreign investor.

After addressing this issue, the authors compared the world and emerging market broad market indices against their respective property indices. There is a big difference in performance between both emerging market indices; nevertheless, when examining specific country examples, we can see that this underperformance is driven by specific countries. There is also another issue to examine: total risk. Returns should be adjusted to risk in order to be comparable and therefore determine the profitability of a market. For this task, the authors calculated Shapre Ratios, the ratio between returns and standard deviation, for the sample countries. After these adjustments, the authors found out that there were countries that were not significantly influenced by global capital markets, and, in spite of the fact that the overall performance of real estate indices was rather poor, the risk adjusted performance significantly improves the scenario.

The authors then suggested, based on these findings, that there could be diversification potential by investing in developing real estate markets. However, some of these investments could be troublesome: excessive regulation and low market capitalization could offset the potential benefits of diversifying. There is an exception to this issue: unsecuritized investments during times of crises. However, it is important to have data relative to property type and geographic areas within countries in order to have a really accurate investment decision. Unfortunately, these data is not available, therefore making this analysis a very difficult goal to accomplish in the short run.

Sao Paulo, Brazil


Cointegration

Modeling Linkages between US and Asia-Pacific Securitized Property Markets, a paper from Yunus and Swanson (2007), utilizes the technique of Cointegration in order to determine whether there are long run common factors among markets. It is first important to define Cointegration as a process in which two or more time series share similar characteristics during a certain time, therefore not allowing for diversification benefits. What this paper analyzed was if there were Cointegration relationships among the sample countries (US, Singapore, Australia, Hong Kong, and Japan), and some other short-run relationships.

It is important to note that diversification benefits could be time-specific, and if there are structural breaks in the data, subsamples should be taken into account. For these specific countries, there is a structural break sometime between 2002 and 2003. The authors then decided to divide their sample period, having year end 2002 as their period differentiator. This date is intuitively accurate: it marks the beginning of the boom in commercial real estate markets. It is also important to note the fact that all returns were converted to US dollars, in order to be consistent among returns and therefore be able to have accurate comparisons.

After analyzing long-run Cointegration relationships, the authors concluded that the United States, Australia, and Singapore are cointegrated, therefore reducing any potential benefits from diversification. On the other hand, Japan and Hong Kong could have a better diversification potential, since those markets are not trending with the other three markets. There is an intuitive explanation for this finding: the markets in the United States and Australia are the oldest from the sample, and Singapore modeled its property laws based on Australia. On the other hand, Japan and Hong Kong might have also suffered from consequences due to a GDP drop during that same sample period.

On the other hand, short-run causality tests were also performed for the same countries. Since this study was performed with daily data, time lags were included to be consistent with a cause-effect relationship and market operation hours. In other words, Asian shocks on day t were compared against American returns on day t, but American shocks on day t were compared against Asian returns on day t + 1. After the analysis, the authors found no lead-lag relationships, basically stating that all markets are short-term independent. This is intuitively sound: real estate is most of the time considered as a long term investment.





Hong Kong



Fundamental Prices

Finally, Hott and Monnin (2008), with their paper entitled Fundamental Real Estate Prices: An Empirical Estimation with International Data, give a theoretical framework for determining fundamental prices for real estate. This theoretical framework is very important, since it could be a good way for identifying market bubbles. Whenever market prices significantly deviate from their fundamental prices, we’re on a presence of a disequilibrium situation, and the market will eventually take care of it. This situation is rather self explanatory with the American real estate market during the last year.

In order to calculate the fundamental price of a property, the authors considered first calculated what is called the imputed rent. This rent is influenced by three factors. The first one is the mortgage rate multiplied by the price of the property, in other words, the interest payment for the property. Next, there is a fraction of the value of the house that is paid as maintenance cost. Finally, the expected capital gain, as the difference between the net fiscal effect of the expected price of the house one period ahead minus the price in the current period. Rearranging for the price of the house, the authors found it was a function of the imputed rent, the mortgage rate, and the expectation of the price of the property for the following period.

The authors then used two approaches for interpreting the evolution of imputed rents: either a no arbitrage condition, represented by the imputed rent approach, or a market equilibrium condition based on supply and demand (called S/D model by the authors). The authors then used these two approaches against data from USA, UK, Japan, Switzerland, and the Netherlands. The results were somehow as expected: market values were most of the times different than fundamental values represented by the two models.

The authors conclude that there is no clear evidence on whether market prices converge with fundamentals in the long run. However, the gap between fundamental and market prices is slowly decreasing, suggesting that prices might converge in the future. There is also a possibility of forecasting prices for properties by using this technique: the authors demonstrate that their models were accurate on determining the actual movement of the market. There is no explanation on why does this happens, but the authors indeed demonstrated that there is a difference between fundamental and market prices.



Canary Wharf, London, England



What’s next?

Empirical literature in real estate is still growing, and there are several issues that haven’t been completely addressed, and empirical research should be moving towards that direction in the future. The first one is regional cycles. Differentiating among countries, especially developed, is not a difficult task. However, when including developed countries, the action becomes more difficult. Then, regions within countries would have to be the next sub division. Since real estate investments require a large amount of capital and a long term horizon, the allocation of a specific region within a country becomes important. Even though there are intuitive reasons to move towards a specific place, empirical research should be made and models should be proposed to effectively propose a regional diversification within countries.

A second proposal is the usage of property types. This is somehow analogous to industry diversification in the stock market. It is not the same to invest in industrial property as opposed to houses. Property types could mark an important difference for allocating resources. Then, adding property types to the international scenario, this makes things more complicated, basically due to the lack of data. However, there should be some other proxies used in order to fill in this gap. Intuition could give us a good direction, but there should be a model that could give an investor a better idea on what to do.

A third proposal is monitoring real estate through the inclusion of a “standard deviation” variable. What I mean with this is that, since the real estate market is not perfect, the difference in prices of real property might give more information to potential investors than prices themselves. Property indices are good, but the market will need a more dynamic indicator in order to have accurate information for investors. This might require a structural change in data gathering, but probably a theoretical model explaining this need will lead to a more comprehensive data set.

Finally, with these three new sets of data, more short and long run relationship tests will also be needed. The Cointegration technique, among others, should still be used to find similar trends in time series movements and therefore maximize the potential for diversification. On the other hand, regulation should also be analyzed, since there’s evidence that when countries engage in similar legal frameworks, some benefits from international diversification are offset. Finally, countries should create financial instruments similar to real estate investment trusts (REIT’s), in order to offer international investors a better possibility for real estate investment.


Conclusion

Empirical research in real estate has been increasing in the last years. The purpose of this post was to analyze four papers in different areas of real estate, and then give some ideas of the future movement of real estate empirical research. The papers are summarized as follows:

1.- By analyzing real estate publicly traded companies in several countries in the world, there is evidence of the existence of country specific risk. This suggests that international diversification could offset this local source of uncertainty.
2.- Emerging markets offer attractive diversification possibilities, and even though the emerging market property index seemed to underperform the world financial market, investing in specific country actually give better diversification results .
3.- There are long-term Cointegration relationships between the United States, Australia, and Singapore. Investing in Japan or Hong Kong could increase the potential of diversification for international investors. Markets are independent in the short run, consistent with the fact that real estate is a long term investment.
4.- Fundamental prices of real estate are a function of rents and of market equilibrium models. When compared to market prices, there is an important gap. However, there is evidence that prices seem to go back to fundamental values in the long run.

Finally, it is important to say that there are still several possibilities for empirical research in real estate. However, the fundamental principle is simple: international diversification in real estate is a strategic asset allocation activity that deserves to be fully analyzed in order to obtain the highest possible benefits.

Bibliography

  • Barry, Christopher B. and Mauricio Rodriguez, 2004, Risk and return characteristics of property indices in emerging markets, Emerging Markets Review 5, 131-159.
  • Hott, Christian and Pierre Monnin, 2008, Fundamental real estate prices: an empirical estimation with international data, Journal of Real Estate and Financial Economics 36, 427-450.
  • Ling, David C. and Andy Naranjo, 2002, Commercial real estate return performance: a cross-country analysis, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 24:1/2, 119-142.
  • Yunus, Nafeesa and Peggy E. Swanson, 2007, Modeling linkages between US and Asia-Pacific securitized property markets, Journal of Property Research 24:2, 92-122.

Pictures

Friday, October 17, 2008

ULI cites UTA as example of UP

Below is a copy of an e-mail sent to the Urban Land Institute membership as part of their annual fund raising drive. Please note that UTA was mentioned for successfully implementing the UrbanPlan (UP) project.

If you know of anyone who might be interested in donating, please forward this information. We plan to continue to offer the UP at UTA but it does takes a tremendous amount of volunteer and funding resources!


October 16, 2008

Dear Heidi,

With Fall Meeting quickly approaching, I would like to take this opportunity to let you know about a few of the programs supported by member contributions to the ULI Foundation Annual Fund.

In 2007, member gifts supported a Pro Bono Advisory Services Panel to develop a plan for rebuilding and uniting residents split apart by the Minneapolis bridge collapse; the Community Action Grants program awarded 13 grants to District Councils totaling over $300,000; and UrbanPlan was delivered to high school and university students in 32 cities, preparing the leaders of tomorrow with expert training and guidance.

Play the video, Making A Visible Difference, to learn more about the ways the Annual Fund supports critical ULI programs. Hear from members who served on the Minneapolis Panel; learn about the Community Action Grant that brought an idea for a ULI Center for Sustainable Leadership to reality; discover how UrbanPlan has become an essential part of the curriculum at the University of Texas, Arlington.

To learn more about how member contributions to the Annual Fund are making a visible difference, I invite you to visit the ULI Foundation booth on the Fall Meeting Expo Floor. The Foundation booth will be located across from The City in 2050 display, a fascinating interactive exhibit that presents a blueprint for creating sustainable urban areas of tomorrow, funded as part of a generous donation from the Galbreath Family Foundation.

In this time of economic uncertainty, support from ULI members will be crucial to maintaining Annual Fund supported programs and initiatives such as Community Action Grants, UrbanPlan and Pro Bono Advisory Service Panels. Now, more than ever, ULI needs your support to ensure the advancement of our shared mission.

To make a donation by mail or fax, download form.

Thank you in advance for your support of the Foundation Annual Fund.

Thanks,

Roz Gorin
Chair
ULI Foundation Annual Fund

1025 Thomas Jefferson St, N.W.
Suite 500 West
Washington, D.C. 20007-5201

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

New Urbanism Conference: 10/23 in Dallas

" Texas is expected to grow from a population of almost 25 million people in 2010 to between 33 million and 41 million people by 2030."

The North Central Texas region will experience much of this growth as it moves from the current population of 6.5 million people to an estimated 9.1 million people by 2030. This growth will have dramatic impacts on air quality, infrastructure needs, congestion and quality of life in the North Texas area. Smart use of our existing infrastructure as well as understanding the importance of how all forms of transportation will be integrated into the fabric of our urban and suburban areas will help us manage that growth sustainably.

Speakers:

Jon Hockenyos
expert in economics and public policy

Peter Swift
dynamic leader in the area of walk-able communities

John Norquist
former mayor of Milwaukee , author, and expert in urban issues

Steve Mouzon
author, architect, and President of the New Urban Guild and Original Green

When: Thursday October 23, 2008, 8.00am – 5.00pm

Where: @ The Old Red Courthouse in Downtown Dallas

How: Registration online ONLY at WWW.CNUNTX.ORG
(online via credit card or by cash / check @ the door)

Registration:

$20 for Students
with a valid student ID

$60 for Non-Profit &
Government Employees

$85 for Private &
Professional Employees


Dear Urban Enthusiasts,

The Congress of New Urbanism is hosting a day long symposium on Urbanism October 23rd at the Old Red Courthouse.

Speakers for the day include:

Steve Mouzon is an architect, author, and lecturer from Miami Beach . He is the founding principal of the New Urban Guild and a board member of the Guild Foundation. The Guild Foundation and the New Urban Guild focus on education about, and design of, architecture within developments based on the principles of the New Urbanism.

John Norquist was the Mayor of Milwaukee from 1988-2004. Under his leadership, Milwaukee experienced a decline in poverty, saw a boom in new downtown housing, and became a leading center of education and welfare reform. He is a leader in national discussions on urban design and educational issues. John is the author of “The Wealth of Cities,” and has taught courses in urban policy and urban planning at the University of Chicago , The University of Wisconsin— Milwaukee , and at Marquette University . John also sets on the TXDOT Urban Thoroughfares Committee.

Jon Hockenyos has had a life-long interest in economics and public policy. Following stints as an aide to a member of the British Parliament and work on a Senatorial campaign in his home state of Illinois , Mr. Hockenyos founded TXP while attending the LBJ School of Public Affairs at the University of Texas at Austin in 1987. TXP is an economic analysis and public policy consulting firm that specializes in helping clients define and shape public policy on emerging issues as well as traditional economic development.

Peter Swift has been working within engineering and urban design for 35 years. Mr. Swift works consistently with sustainable traffic engineering and traditional town planning throughout the United States , Canada , Central America and the Middle East . He is one of the early Charter members of the Congress of the New Urbanism. He is a Knight Fellow with the University of Miami . He is a frequent lecturer on Traditional Town Planning and narrower streets.

Monday, October 13, 2008

REAE@UTA blog - first 200 hit week

The REAE@UTA blog is less than a year old and we achieved a milestone. Last week we had the most website visits of any week, 220 visitors. I attribute this to our recent student posts!

Also, it is very interesting to track the origination of these visits. Although the majority come from the US, we have had visitors from China, South Korea, Canada, India, Netherlands, Cameroon, Slovakia, Japan, Nigeria, Iran, Yemen, Vietnam, Romania, Thailand, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Welcome everyone!

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Scholarship Opportunity

From the Society of Commercial REALTORS:

Society of Commercial REALTORS Looking for Deserving Scholarship Recipients

Know of a student who is looking for scholarships to complete his or her education?

The Society of Commercial REALTORS® raises approximately $5,000 in scholarships each year and is looking for deserving scholarship recipients!

All interested students will need to click ( www.scr-fw.org/PDFs/SCR_Scholarship_Application.pdf ) for the application and send it to Dottie Pletch at the address below with a current transcript, a personal essay and a letter of recommendation from a member of the Society of Commercial REALTORS®. The deadline to submit an application is by 5 p.m. Monday, Nov. 3, 2008.

Applications should be mailed to SCR at 2650 Parkview Drive, Fort Worth, TX 76102.

For more information, click here( www.scr-fw.org/SCRScholarship.asp ).

For questions, contact Dottie Pletch at 817-336-5165, ext. 107, or d.pletch@gfwar.org.